Wednesday, July 20, 2011

Cargo Cult Science Update


The results are about to be published from the CLOUD experiment at CERN and it's sounding like Svensmark will be vindicated. But anyone paying attention could have told you that was highly likely ... so it's time to issue the "gag order":

The Reference Frame: CERN boss: I forbade employees to interpret our climate experiment: "139 muons penetrate through your body each second.

And if the experiment and its subsequent interpretations happened to confirm the 'cosmoclimatology' theory by Henrik Svensmark, which has had nothing to do with politics when published, by the way, Mr Heuer has no moral right to try to prevent Henrik Svensmark from enjoying all the credit that he would deserve in that case - credit for contributions to science that would exceed Mr Heuer's own contributions to science by orders of magnitude.

In reality, it is almost certainly true that cosmic radiation is only one of many parameters. But so are water vapor and carbon dioxide and aerosols and oscillations of the ocean; except that in the case of the second item on the list, scientists are being similarly prevented from saying that this chemical compound is just one among many drivers.

I am pretty much sure that Mr Heuer has heard about some people who are claiming that CO2 is important in the climate and he must know that they're allowed - and, indeed, encouraged - to "interpret" those wild speculations that are, relatively to the CLOUD experiment, supported by nothing. But he still finds it appropriate to suppress the broader findings that may follow from the research done by his very lab. This is an utterly dishonest behavior reminding us of science in the 20th century totalitarian societies and Mr Heuer should be ashamed.

Much of Feynman's famous "Cargo Cult Science" commencement speech is dedicated exactly to these questions"
Check out Nigel Calder's blog for the context.

Galileo and the victims of Lysenko would tell you we have learned nothing...